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	<title>Comments on: Guest Reply: Rob Bach on Pilots</title>
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		<title>By: gmcrews</title>
		<link>http://www.developsense.com/blog/2009/04/guest-reply-rob-bach-on-pilots/comment-page-1/#comment-241</link>
		<dc:creator>gmcrews</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Apr 2009 13:12:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Hi Michael,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;At the risk of &quot;trying to control a debate by controlling the meaning of the terms,&quot; (not a thing I would want to do) let me comment on my use of the term &quot;quality assurance&quot;.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;a HREF=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quality_assurance&quot; REL=&quot;nofollow&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Quality assurance&lt;/a&gt; refers to those actions taken to provide confidence that (in this case) the commercial airline flight will &quot;satisfy customer requirements.&quot; The key word in the definition is &quot;confidence.&quot;&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Neither I nor the FAA would currently be &quot;confident&quot; in the safety of a completely automated commercial aircraft. Nor would a single pilot be enough. However, with two pilots we do have the required subjective(!) confidence. Why? Fundamentally, for exactly the reason that Rob Bach stated: &quot;People make mistakes.&quot; All the other work-load/fatigue/size issues, while of practical importance, are secondary to this fundamental truth.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Risk is probability multiplied by consequence. The consequences of commercial airline pilot mistakes are pretty high. The copilot is there to reduce the probability of a mistake to a level that gives us the required confidence against the risk. Automate or apply technology to all the work-load/fatigue/size/etc issues you care to and you still get two pilots in the plane in order to provide the required confidence against mistakes.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;And checklists are the same thing. Confidence against errors. That is, we are confident they help prevent overlooking something -- is the fuel switch set to an empty tank?&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;So yes, while not disagreeing with anything Rob said, I do think it&#039;s basically a quality assurance issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Michael,</p>
<p>At the risk of &#8220;trying to control a debate by controlling the meaning of the terms,&#8221; (not a thing I would want to do) let me comment on my use of the term &#8220;quality assurance&#8221;.</p>
<p><a HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quality_assurance" REL="nofollow" rel="nofollow">Quality assurance</a> refers to those actions taken to provide confidence that (in this case) the commercial airline flight will &#8220;satisfy customer requirements.&#8221; The key word in the definition is &#8220;confidence.&#8221;</p>
<p>Neither I nor the FAA would currently be &#8220;confident&#8221; in the safety of a completely automated commercial aircraft. Nor would a single pilot be enough. However, with two pilots we do have the required subjective(!) confidence. Why? Fundamentally, for exactly the reason that Rob Bach stated: &#8220;People make mistakes.&#8221; All the other work-load/fatigue/size issues, while of practical importance, are secondary to this fundamental truth.</p>
<p>Risk is probability multiplied by consequence. The consequences of commercial airline pilot mistakes are pretty high. The copilot is there to reduce the probability of a mistake to a level that gives us the required confidence against the risk. Automate or apply technology to all the work-load/fatigue/size/etc issues you care to and you still get two pilots in the plane in order to provide the required confidence against mistakes.</p>
<p>And checklists are the same thing. Confidence against errors. That is, we are confident they help prevent overlooking something &#8212; is the fuel switch set to an empty tank?</p>
<p>So yes, while not disagreeing with anything Rob said, I do think it&#8217;s basically a quality assurance issue.</p>
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